The Perseid meteor shower in 2025 will be heavily influenced by moonlight

Meteor in the Perseid meteor shower (center) in 2024
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(Machine translation by DeepL + adjustments by Gyegyopon, Translated article written for Japan without major changes, Sorry some Japanese language is still there)

Hello, this is Gyegyopon.

The Perseid meteor shower, which is active in mid-August, is one of the “three major meteor showers” and you can see a lot of meteors every year without missing.
If you go to a place with a good view of stars, you can see a lot of meteors, and you may be able to see meteors even in the bright sky of a city.
This article summarizes the status of the Perseid meteor shower in 2025 and information about meteors.

I hope this article will be helpful for those who want to see meteors and learn more about meteors.

Main text

If you want to know the condition of the Perseid meteor shower this year quickly, please read “Summary“.
What is the Perseid Meteor Shower?” and after that, the contents of ‘Summary’ are explained in a little more detail.
If you want to know more about meteors, please continue reading “What are meteors?

Summary

The Perseid meteor shower in 2025 will have a very good time of maximum, but the moon is not in good condition. The bright moon will be out all night during the time when many meteors will be visible, making it difficult to see the fainter meteors because they will be obscured by the moonlight.

The best time to view the Perseid meteor shower is any of the three nights1 from the night of August 11 through the morning of August 14, with the greatest number of meteors expected to be visible before dawn on August 13. If you are in a dark sky, you can expect to see about 20 meteors per hour when the most meteors are visible.

On any given night, a modest number of meteors will begin to appear around 21:00, and the number of meteors will increase as dawn approaches after midnight.

Don’t worry about which direction in the sky to look. Meteors can appear in many different directions.

The best place to view meteors is where the sky is dark and you have a wide view of the sky. It is best to stay as far away from large towns as possible.

What is the Perseid meteor shower?

The Perseid meteor shower is a meteor shower that is active in mid-August every year. The Perseid meteor shower is one of the three major meteor showers, which are the three meteor showers where you can see a lot of meteors. The other two meteor showers are the Quadrantids in January and the Geminids in December.

The Perseid meteor shower is an “easy-to-see” meteor shower because many meteors appear consistently every year2, it can be seen during the warmer months, and many people tend to take their holidays during this time. However, the fact that most of the meteors are visible from after midnight to before dawn may be a bit of a hurdle.

Perseid meteor shower this year

The maximum3 of the Perseid meteor shower in 2025 is predicted to be around 5:00 on August 13. Since the Perseid meteor shower is most visible in the pre-dawn hours, the greatest number of meteors will be visible in Japan just after the maximum on August 13, before dawn (around 3:00 in Tokyo). In darker areas of the sky, we expect to see about 20 meteors per hour.

About 5 meteors per hour will be visible before dawn on the 12th (around 3:00), and about 10 meteors per hour will be visible before dawn on the 14th (around 3:00).

Regarding the temporal variation in the number of meteors, (this does not depend on the year) meteors of the Perseid meteor shower tend to start appearing there around 21:00 and increase in number after midnight and toward dawn. (This may be a little hard for those who are not good night owls.) However, it is not impossible for meteors to appear before 21:00, so don’t give up and try to observe them even in the early hours of the night.

This year is a very good year in that sense, as the time of the maximum is close to the time when meteor showers are easier to see in Japan. However, the moon will rise around 20:004, a little past the full moon, during the time of the maximum this year. While the moon is out, the number of meteors that can be seen is reduced because fainter meteors are obscured by the moonlight. Unfortunately, the moon will be out early in the evening this year, so conditions will not be good, as there will be very few hours when the moon is unaffected.

Direction in which meteors are visible

Meteors appear in various directions in the sky. Although it is called the “Perseid meteor shower,” meteors do not appear only in the direction of the constellation Perseus.

Meteors in meteor showers have a distinctive appearance.
They radiate outward from a point in the night sky called the “radiant point”. It is called the “Perseid” meteor shower because the radiant point is located near the constellation Perseus.
Meteors that appear near the radiant point are moving toward us, so their paths are short and they move slowly. On the other hand, meteors that appear some distance away from the radiant point have longer and faster paths because they are moving sideways.

If you find a meteor in the night sky and it is moving in a direction straight away from the Perseid meteor shower radiant point, it is very likely to be a Perseid meteor shower meteor5. On the other hand, meteors moving in other directions are not Perseid meteor showers6, even during the active period of the Perseid meteor shower.

Diagram depicting the entire starry sky and the meteors of the Perseid meteor shower that appeared in it.
The starry sky of Tokyo at 3:00 on August 13, 2025. The radiant point of the Perseid meteor shower is marked red “ペルセウス座” in the northeast (upper left). Some meteors do not appear to radiate from the radiant point, but this is because the figure is distorted by drawing a round sky on a flat surface. (Click the image to enlarge it a little. This figure is created using the astronomical simulation software “Stellar Navigator”)
Venus and Jupiter are very close in the east-northeast sky at this time, and the close proximity of the two bright planets is quite spectacular, so pay close attention.

How to observe meteors

To see many meteors, try to view them in a place where the sky is as dark as possible (usually, you can see many stars). If the sky is bright, dark meteors will be obscured by the brightness of the sky, and the number of meteors you can see will be reduced.
As for where the “dark sky” place is, roughly speaking, the further you are from a large city, the darker the sky will be. The sky becomes brighter in a large town, because there is a lot of artificial light there, which illuminates the sky and makes it brighter.
Even when observing in the vicinity, it is best to find a place with as few lights as possible nearby.

It is also important to have a wide view of the sky. Meteors appear in various directions in the sky, so if you have a wide view of the sky, the probability of meteors appearing there will increase.

No special tools are needed to observe meteors. Observe with the naked eye.
If you use binoculars or a telescope, your field of view (range of vision) will be very narrow, which is not good for capturing meteors that may appear anywhere.

It takes time for your eyes to adjust to the dark. It is best to let your eyes adjust for about 15 minutes after going to a dark place. During this time, do not look at anything bright, such as a smartphone screen.

It is very tiring to stand and watch the sky for a long time.
You can easily observe the sky by lying down on a leisure sheet or something similar. (Try your best to sleep during the day so you don’t fall asleep.)

Don’t forget to deal with mosquitoes and other insects7. You cannot concentrate on watching meteors if you are worried about insects.

Shouting at night or entering places you are not allowed can cause trouble. Please follow the rules and behave with good manners. Also, since you will be working in the dark, be careful of accidents.

What are meteors?

Here are a few more details about meteors.

A meteor is a phenomenon in which dust particles, like grains of sand flying through space, fly into the Earth’s atmosphere at high speed and shine.

All meteors in a single meteor shower are born from dust grains originally ejected from a single comet8. In the case of the Perseid meteor shower, the comet that ejected the dust grains is Comet Swift-Tuttle (109P/Swift-Tuttle). The dust grains ejected from the comet are spread throughout the comet’s orbit, and when the Earth passes through the orbit every year, the dust grains plunge into the Earth’s atmosphere9. The dust grains collide violently with the Earth’s atmosphere, glowing and becoming meteors.

Since all dust grains fly into the sky from the same direction to the observer, meteors appear to radiate from a certain point. The central point from which meteors appear radially is called the “radiant point”. The radiant point is conceptual (thought up in the mind), so if you look closely at the night sky, you will not see anything there.
If a meteor happens to appear at the radiant point, it appears as if light appears and disappears without moving. Such a meteor is called a “stationary meteor”10. From another point of view, a stationary meteor is a meteor that comes straight toward you.

Number of visible meteors

The number of visible meteors is related to the altitude of the radiant point and the brightness of the sky at the location of observation, in addition to the activity of the meteor shower itself.

Activity of the meteor shower itself

The dust grains spread over the comet’s orbit have thick (dense) and thin (sparse) portions. If the earth plunges into the dense part, many dust grains will fly into the atmosphere and many meteors will appear.
The increase in the number of dust particles entering the atmosphere and the increase in the number of meteors are called “meteor shower is active”.

Roughly speaking, dust grains encircle the comet’s orbit in a cylindrical shape, with the dust grains becoming denser toward the center. Therefore, when the earth approaches the center of the dust grains, the meteor shower becomes more active, reaching a maximum at the densest part, and after the maximum, the dust grains gradually become sparser and the activity of the meteor shower calms down.

Altitude of radiant point

If the activity of meteor showers is the same, the higher the altitude of the radiant point, the more meteors will appear.
Meteors of the Perseids tend to appear around 21:00 and increase in number from after midnight to dawn, because the altitude of the radiant point gradually increases.

The main reason why the number of meteors increases as the altitude of the radiant point increases is due to the difference in the area over which the dust grains fly into.
Let us compare the case where the same number of dust grains come from directly above the head and the case where they come from an angle. When the dust particles come at an angle, the same number of dust particles are spread over a larger area. Therefore, fewer meteors will be visible11.

Diagram depicting the atmosphere above the ground and dust grains flying there from above.
The figure compares the case where a dust particle enters the atmosphere from directly above the head (left) and the case where a dust particle enters the atmosphere at an angle (right). You can see that the area of the atmosphere (orange jagged line) where the dust particle enters the atmosphere is larger in the case where the dust particle enters the atmosphere obliquely. (Click to see an image with supplementary lines.)

Meteors do not appear when the radiant point is below the horizon12.

Sky brightness

The more dark the sky (where even the faintest stars are visible) is, the more meteors are visible. Conversely, in a bright sky (where dark stars are not visible), the number of visible meteors will be smaller because dark meteors will not be visible.

Besides differences in the brightness of the sky depending on location, the moon also affects the brightness of the sky.
When the moon is very thin, it has little effect, but the thicker the moon is, the brighter it becomes. It is brightest at the time of the full moon, and the sky lit by the full moon is so bright that only fairly bright meteors can be seen.

In the case of the Perseid meteor shower, the number of visible meteors more than doubles when observed in a sky where stars up to one magnitude fainter are visible13.

Some activities that are out of the ordinary

The Perseid meteor shower reaches its normal annual maximum around 140.0 degrees solar ecliptic longitude14. Based on this, the 2025 maximum is predicted to be around 5:00 on August 13.

On the other hand, in addition to the normal activity of meteor showers, there is sometimes a secondary activity that is expected to be different from the annual trend. Calculations can predict in advance that the earth will plunge into the dense areas of dust grains (called “dust trails,” “filaments,” or simply “trails”) that have been ejected from comets in the past.

Furthermore, unexpected appearances (“sudden appearances”) can be captured by observation without prior forecast.

Secondary activity in 2025

Several secondary activities are expected in 2025.

One is the activity around 22:15 on August 12. A researcher named Vaubaillon predicts that the number of meteors will increase as Earth approaches the dust ejected from the parent body in 1079.

The other activity is after 13:00 on August 12. Unfortunately, it is daytime in Japan at this time, so this activity will not be visible in Japan.

Let’s actually observe

Predicting the date and time of meteor maxima and the number of meteors is not a sure thing. You will not know when and how many meteors you will see until you actually see them. Even if the date and time are outside the predicted time of maximum or activity, you may be able to catch an unexpected appearance when you actually observe it.

Unfortunately, the moon is in poor condition in 2025, but we hope that meteors as bright as the moonlight will appear. I hope you can find a little time to observe them.

Related Information

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    脚注

    1. Or all three nights, of course.
    2. The Geminids meteor shower is also stable. The Quadrantids meteor shower is hit or miss from year to year.
    3. The most active meteor shower and the time of the shower.
    4. The time of moonrise differs slightly from place to place. This article describes the time in Tokyo, but for example, on August 12, 2025, moonrise in various locations is 20:15 in Tokyo, 20:07 in Sapporo, 20:32 in Osaka, and 20:53 in Fukuoka.
    5. It is possible that meteors that do not happen to be in the Perseid meteor shower will move in a similar direction, so this is not a 100% reliable method of identifying meteors. In order to identify meteors with certainty, you observe meteors from two or more points and use the principle of triangulation to determine the three-dimensional path and velocity of the meteors. If the original dust grain has the same orbit as the parent comet, then it can be judged to be a meteor from that meteor shower.
    6. Meteors that do not belong to a specific meteor shower are called “sporadic” meteors.
    7. Gyegyopon often uses mosquito coils because I don’t like insect repellents applied to my skin. (This is not a recommendation. Use your own judgment in each situation.) If you place mosquito coils in four places around you, they will protect you from insects no matter which way the wind blows. Please be careful with fire.
    8. It is called “Parent comet.”
    9. Therefore, the meteors in a given meteor shower appear at the same time each year. Also, only comets whose orbits intersect with the Earth’s orbit can be the parent comet of a meteor shower.
    10. You may want to know the probability of seeing a stationary meteor. However, there is no clear definition of a stationary meteor, so the probability depends on how much movement you consider acceptable. If you are willing to call it a stationary meteor even if it moves a little, the probability will be high, and if you think it moves at all, the probability will be close to zero.
    11. If the altitude of the radiant point is θ degrees, the area into which the same number of dust particles fly is (1/sin θ) times larger than when the radiant point is at zenith (directly above the head).
      This means, for example, that if the altitude of the radiant point is 30 degrees, the area of the atmosphere over which the same number of dust particles can fly into is twice as large (1/sin 30° = 1/0.5 = 2), thus halving the number of meteors. (The figure on the right shows the radiant point altitude as 30°.)
    12. The radiant point is below the horizon, which means that dust grains are flying in from behind the earth. In that situation, no meteors will appear because the earth is in the way and the dust particles will not fly into the atmosphere above you. However, when the radiant point is “just below the horizon,” meteors may appear, although they are very few in number.
    13. “Population index” is a numerical expression of how many times more meteors are visible when stars up to one magnitude fainter are visible. For example, suppose you observe a meteor shower with a population index of 2, and you see 10 meteors in the sky where you can see stars up to 3rd magnitude (the faintest stars). If you observe a meteor shower in the sky where you can see stars up to 4th magnitude, you would expect to see 10 x 2 = 20 meteors. And 10 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 80 meteors in a sky where you can see stars up to 6th magnitude.
      The population index of the Perseid meteor shower is 2.2.
    14. Although the name “solar ecliptic longitude” is “solar…,” it is best to think as indicating the position of the earth as it orbits the sun. It is an angular measure of how much the earth has moved from a specific location, the vernal equinox, around the sun by its orbit.
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